References
  1. Stedman M, Davies M, Lunt M, Verma A, Anderson SG, Heald AH. A phased approach to unlocking during the COVID-19 pandemic—Lessons from trend analysis. Int J Clin Pract. 2020;00:e13528. https://doi. org/10.1111/ijcp.13528: Accessed 16 May 2020
  2. Van den Driessche P. Reproduction numbers of infectious disease models. Infect Dis Model. 2017; 2: 288-303
  3. LSOAs link to individual UTLA. https://geopo rtal.stati stics.gov.uk/ datas ets/lower -layer -super -outpu t-area-2011-to-upper -tier-local -autho ritie s-2019-looku p-in-engla nd-and-wales -/data: Accessed 15 May, 2020.
  4. Birrell P, Blake J, van Leeuwen E, De Angelis D, Joint PHE Modelling Cell, and MRC Biostatistics Unit COVID-19 Working Group. 10 May 2020 https://www.mrc-bsu.cam.ac.uk/no: Accessed 15 May 2020
  5. Dimdore-Miles O and David Miles D. Assessing the Spread of the Novel Coronavirus In The Absence of Mass Testing. Covid Economics Edition 16. Published 11 May 2020 athttps://cepr.org/sites/default/files/news/CovidEconomics16.pdf: accessed 15 May 2020
  6. https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/28may2020: Accessed 31 May 2020
  7. Loeffelholz MJ, Tang YW. Laboratory diagnosis of emerging human coronavirus infections - the state of the art. Emerg Microbes Infect 2020; 9: 747-756