Effects of telomere length on reproductive success
Finally, the effect of fledgling TL on the total number of recruits
produced per individual (LRS, lifetime reproductive success) was
analyzed. We included only individuals that survived until breeding and
that were not removed during the artificial selection (and thus allowed
to reproduce). In the high population, 10 out of 22 recruiting
individuals produced at least one recruit and 39 out of 80 individuals
did so in the low population. While reproduction per semay accelerate telomere loss (Sudyka, 2019), we test here the predictive
value of early-life TL and/or tarsus length on subsequent reproductive
output (Eastwood et al., 2019). Since LRS and lifespan (measured in
years from first to last observation) were highly correlated
(high population; Pearson’s r =0.83,p <0.0001, low population; Pearson’sr =0.70, p <0.0001), we tested whether TL or
tarsus length predict LRS while controlling for lifespan (which is
equivalent to the individual average annual reproductive success, ARS).
We fitted a set of generalized linear mixed models with a Poisson error
distribution separately for each population to facilitate model
convergence, using the package glmmTMB (Brooks et al. 2017).
Sex was included as fixed factor
and brood identity and year were included as random intercepts in all
models. We compared the same 9 candidate models for each population
using AICc and models were validated using the DHARMa package (Hartig,
2019).