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\begin{document}

\title{Effects of Anthropogenic Forcings on Multidecadal Variability of the Sea
Level around the Japanese Coast Simulated by MRI-ESM2.0 for CMIP6}



\author[1]{Yusuke Ushijima}%
\author[2]{Hiroyuki Tsujino}%
\author[2]{Kei Sakamoto}%
\author[3]{Masayoshi Ishii}%
\author[2]{Tsuyoshi Koshiro}%
\author[2]{Naga Oshima}%
\affil[1]{Japan Meteorological Business Support Center}%
\affil[2]{Meteorological Research Institute}%
\affil[3]{Meteorological Research Institute, Japan}%


\vspace{-1em}



  
  \date{June 18, 2024}


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\begin{abstract}
The observed sea level (SL) around the Japanese coast shows a peculiar
multidecadal variation with the peak in the 1950s followed by the
gradual fall until the 1970s and the rebound continuing to the present,
making the recent SL rise less remarkable in the historical record. An
ensemble mean of the historical simulations conducted for the Coupled
Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 (CMIP6) using the Meteorological
Research Institute Earth System Model version 2.0 (MRI-ESM2.0)
reproduces this variability well, implying that this was a forced one.
The MRI-ESM2.0 simulations for the Detection and Attribution Model
Intercomparison Project suggest that the increase in anthropogenic
aerosols caused the SL fall from the 1950s to the 1970s and the increase
in greenhouse gases caused the SL rise after that. Additional
sensitivity runs indicate that the surface heat loss in the North
Pacific due to anthropogenic aerosols plays a dominant role in the SL
fall.%
\end{abstract}%



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