Abstract
Coral reefs are losing coral cover across the globe largely as a result
of a rise in seawater temperatures that trigger coral bleaching and
induce coral mortality. How coral reefs will respond to climate change
will be a function of genetic variation and how it is partitioned among
species. A critical initial step is to accurately delineate species and
quantify their physiological potential to cope with heat stress. Cryptic
species, morphologically indistinguishable but genetically different
ones, typically harbor distinct physiological variation and respond
differently to climatic changes. A dominant Caribbean reef builder
severely affected by climate change is the mountainous star coral,
Orbicella faveolata. Recently, Dziedzic et al. (2019) reported genetic
variation in the physiological response to thermal stress in a single
population of this species, suggesting that variation within populations
will allow these corals to adapt to rising ocean temperatures. We
reanalyzed their data and found multiple cryptic lineages rather than a
single panmictic population, with only one of the lineages being
heat-tolerant. Our finding of hidden lineages within a threatened
species highlights the varying extinction risks faced by these
independently evolving groups, especially when the prospects of survival
under warmer oceans seem favorable for a few of them only.