Prognostic value of Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio in COVID-19 patients:
A systematic review and meta-analysis
Abstract
Background: Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is an accessible and
widely used biomarker. NLR may be used as an early marker of poor
prognosis in patients with COVID-19. Methods: We conducted a systematic
review and meta-analysis. Observational studies that reported the
association between baseline NLR values (i.e. at hospital admission) and
severity or all-cause mortality in COVID-19 patients were included. The
quality of the studies was assessed using the Newcastle-Ottawa scale
(NOS). Random effects models and inverse variance method were used for
meta-analyses. The effects were expressed as odds ratios (OR) and their
95% confidence intervals (CI). Small study effects were assessed with
the Egger’s test. Results: Twenty studies, 19 cohorts and one
case-control were included. An increase of one unit of NLR was
associated with a higher odds of COVID-19 severity (OR 6.6, 95% CI:
4.71 - 7.19; p<0.001) and higher odds of all-cause mortality
(OR 12.7, 95% CI: 1.32, 123.36; p=0.025). No differences were found in
subgroup analyses by study design. The subgroup analysis of the studies,
by country of origin, showed that the strength of the association
between NLR and mortality was greater in Chinese studies (OR 31.1;
95%CI 19.57 to 49.3; p<0.0001) with moderate heterogeneity
(I2 =43%). In our sensitivity analysis, we found that 7 studies with
low risk of bias maintained strong association between both outcomes and
the NLR values (severity: OR 4.7; 95% CI 3.5 to 6.34; p <
0.001 vs mortality: OR 31.1; 95% CI 19.57 to 49.3; p
<0.0001), with low (I2 = 37%) and moderate (I2 = 43%)
heterogeneity for severity and mortality outcomes, respectively. No
publication bias was found for studies that evaluated effects for the
severity of disease. Conclusions: Higher values of NLR were associated
with severity and all-cause mortality in hospitalized COVID-19 patients.