Spatial Variability of Snow Density and Its Estimation in Different
Periods of Snow Season in the Middle Tianshan Mountains, China
Abstract
Snow density is one of the essential properties to describe snowpack
characteristics. To obtain the spatial variability of snow density and
estimate it accurately in different periods of snow season still remain
as challenges, particularly in the mountains. This study analyzed the
spatial variability of snow density with in-situ measurements in three
different periods (i.e. accumulation, stable, melt period) of snow
seasons 2017/2018 and 2018/2019 in the middle Tianshan Mountains, China.
The performance of multiple linear regression model (MLR) and three
machine learning models (i.e. Random Forest (RF), Extreme Gradient
Boosting (XGB) and Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LGBM)) to simulate
snow density has been evaluated. It was found that the snow density in
melt period (0.27 g cm-3) was generally greater than that in stable
(0.20 g cm-3) and accumulation period (0.18 g cm-3), and the spatial
variability of snow density in melt period was slightly smaller than
that in other two periods. The snow density in mountainous areas was
generally higher than that in plain or valley areas, and snow density
increased significantly (p < 0.05) with elevation in the
accumulation and stable periods. Besides elevation, latitude and ground
surface temperature also had critical impacts on the spatial variability
of snow density in the middle Tianshan Mountains, China. In this work,
the machine learning model, especially RF model, performed better than
MLR on snow density simulation in three periods. Compared with MLR, the
determination coefficients of RF promoted to 0.61, 0.51 and 0.58 from
0.50, 0.1 and 0.52 in accumulation period, stable period and melt period
respectively. This study provide a more accurate snow density simulation
method for estimating regional snow mass and snow water equivalent,
which allows us to achieve a better understanding of regional snow
resources.