Prognostic Relevance of CXCL13 and IL-8 Biomarkers in Predicting the
Transition from Clinically Isolated Syndrome to Multiple Sclerosis
Abstract
Aims: The initial phase of multiple sclerosis (MS), often known as
clinically isolated syndrome (CIS), is a critical period for identifying
individuals at high risk of progressing to full-blown MS and initiating
timely treatment. In this study, we aimed to evaluate the prognostic
value of CXCL13 and IL-8 as potential markers for CIS patients’
conversion to MS. Methods: Our study encompassed patients with CIS,
those with relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS), and control subjects, with
sample analysis conducted on both cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) and serum.
Patients were categorized into four groups: CIS-CIS (no MS development
within two years), CIS-RRMS (conversion to RRMS within two years), RRMS
(already diagnosed), and a control group (CG) with non-inflammatory CNS
disorders. Results: Results showed significantly elevated levels of
CXCL13 in CSF across all patient groups compared to the CG (p
< 0.0001, Kruskal-Wallis test). Although CXCL13 concentrations
were slightly higher in the CIS-RRMS group, statistical significance was
not reached. Similarly, significantly higher levels of IL-8 were
detected in CSF samples from all patient groups compared to the CG (p
< 0.0001, Kruskal-Wallis test), with comparable levels among
patient groups. ROC analysis in the CIS-RRMS group identified both
CXCL13 (AUC = 0.959) and IL-8 (AUC = 0.939) in CSF as significant
predictors of CIS to RRMS conversion. Conclusion: In conclusion, our
study suggests a trend toward elevated CXCL13 levels in CIS patients
progressing to RRMS. These findings emphasize the importance of
identifying prognostic markers to guide appropriate treatment strategies
for individuals in the early stages of MS.