Differences in Native and Invasive Fish Larval Occupancy and Detection
Probabilities in the Upper Mississippi River
Abstract
The Upper Mississippi River (UMR) represents one invasion front to
bigheaded carps Hypopthalmichthys spp. in North America. Agencies
often sample larvae to determine the conditions that bigheaded carp
reproduction occurs, but the ability for conventional ichthyoplankton
sampling to detect bigheaded carp reproduction compared to native fish
is unknown. We used occupancy models to estimate larval bigheaded carp
and native fish larvae detection probabilities and assessed how habitat
type, Julian date, river discharge, and water temperature affect
occupancy. We sampled larvae in pools 18-20 of the UMR every two weeks
at the Iowa, Skunk, and Des Moines River confluences in backwater, side
channel, and thalweg habitats. Detection probabilities increased with
water volume filtered and was lower for larval bigheaded carp than
freshwater drum, gizzard shad, and percids. Freshwater drum and
bigheaded carp larvae had higher detection in thalweg and channel border
habitats compared to backwaters. Occupancy of bigheaded carp peaked on
June 19 th at 20°C, increased with discharge, and
declined with coefficient of variation (CV) of water temperature and
discharge. Gizzard shad and percids occupancy peaked on May 24
th and increased with CV of water temperature while
occupancy of freshwater drum peaked on July 3 rd,
decreased with CV of water temperature, and increased with water
temperature. Our results indicate bigheaded carp are more difficult to
detect than native larvae and identified conditions associated with
larval occupancy that can be used to maximize detection and better
understand when, where, and under what conditions larvae are present
while accounting for imperfect detection.