The Impact of Threatening Information About Brexit on Political
Preferences, National Identity, and National Group Boundaries: An
Experiment in Ireland
Abstract
Recent research indicates the need to understand how threats operate at
a local level. In the wake of Brexit’s significant impact on Ireland’s
political, economic, and social climate, the present research
investigated whether information about economic threat posed by this
political event affect political preferences in the Republic of Ireland,
as well as national identity and boundaries of the national group (
N = 267). We experimentally manipulated perceived economic threat
posed by Brexit using fictitious information and assessed political
preferences for a ‘United Ireland’. Additionally, we examined the impact
of this economic threat for strength of national identification, as well
as the boundaries of the national community, measured by civic and
ethnic nationalism. We also assessed participants’ agreement with the
manipulated information about Brexit as a moderator of these effects.
Results indicated that threatening information about Brexit goes along
with more support for Irish unity the more participants’ agree with the
information and reduces support the more participants’ disagree. There
was no effect of threat on national identification or civic and ethnic
nationalism. The discussion highlights the implications for constructing
threats in political messaging and offers important insights into
preferences for Irish unity within the evolving Brexit context.