Insights on Stochastic Dynamics for Transmission of Monkeypox:
Biological and Probabilistic Behaviour
- Ghaus Rahman,
- Olena Tymoshenko,
- giulia Di Nuuo
Abstract
The transmission of monkeypox is studied using a stochastic model taking
into account the biological aspects, the contact mechanisms and the
demographic factors together with the intrinsic uncertainties. Our
results provide insight into the interaction between stochasticity and
biological elements in the dynamics of monkeypox transmission. The
rigorous mathematical analysis determines threshold parameters for
disease persistence. For the proposed model, the existence of a unique
global almost sure non-negative solution is proven. Conditions leading
to disease extinction are established. Asymptotic properties of the
model are investigated such as the speed of transmission.26 Aug 2024Submitted to Mathematical Methods in the Applied Sciences 28 Aug 2024Submission Checks Completed
28 Aug 2024Assigned to Editor
04 Sep 2024Review(s) Completed, Editorial Evaluation Pending
09 Oct 2024Reviewer(s) Assigned