Abstract
A thorough and precise comprehension understanding of the HIV epidemic
is crucial for effective HIV prevention and control. We used Estimation
and Projection Package (EPP)/Spectrum software to update the estimates
of the overall HIV burden in China in 2018 from the obtained data from
more than 1800 HIV sentinel surveillance sites, population-based
seroprevalence surveys, and HIV screening of antenatal clinics and
pre-marital medical check-ups across the country. In 2018, the total
number of PLWH adults in China was estimated to be 1·23 million,
corresponding to approximately 106.5/100,000. Over a half PLWH (58·6%)
were infected through heterosexual contact, about one-third (30·2%)
through male-to-male transmission, 9·0% through IDU, and 2·3% due to
former plasma donation. In recent years, the number of new infections
through blood donation has been eliminated, and the number of infections
through injecting drug use has been kept low. Sexual contact became the
predominant transmission route, while casual sexual contact became
increasingly common. Overall, HIV mortality has been steadily increasing
and has recently begun to decline during 2012-2018. The number of deaths
from HIV/AIDS in 2018 was approximately 35 000 (95% UI: 30 000-41 000).
The number of estimated PLWH in China has exceeded one million, due to
the ongoing occurrence of new infections and longer survival rates. HIV
transmission through blood products has been eradicated. Casual sex has
become a significant mode of transmission. It is recommended to enhance
the implementation of strategies and measures for sexual communication
in the general population and to bolster multidisciplinary research.