Application of Species Distribution Models (SDMs) and corridor mapping
for conservation of an Endangered charismatic mammal: brown bear (Ursus
arctos) in Iran
Abstract
The brown bear (Ursus arctos) is the largest terrestrial carnivore in
Iran with a rapidly shrinking range. In this study, we assembled the
most comprehensive and up-to-date distribution dataset of brown bears in
Iran. We applied Species Distribution Models (SDMs)and corridor mapping
to identify this charismatic mammal’s suitable habitats and its
corridors across the Zagros and Alborz mountains to ensure this
Endangered charismatic large carnivore in Iran. We also estimated
protected areas coverage for the species’ suitable habitats. Our data
confirmed the presence of the species in 22 of 31 provinces of the
country. The total suitable area for the species is 347,728 km2. We
showed that significant parts of the suitable areas, 77%, of the brown
bear’s suitable habitats, are located outside of the protected areas
network. Slope and vegetation were the most important variables shaping
the species distribution, and dense forests in the absence of mountain
areas are not suitable for the species. Alborz ecoregion in north Iran
is the main central habitat for brown bears due to its continuity and
integration. The data showed that 93.2% of the Alborz mountains in the
north are composed of suitable habitats, however, only 6.4% of this
area was legally protected. We encourage conservation and regular
monitoring of the high-priority habitats and corridors identified in
this study to ensure this Endangered and umbrella mammal species’
long-term survival in Iran.