Abstract
Despite ca. seven decades of theoretical elaboration since Peter
Medawar’s foundational ‘An Unsolved Problem of Biology’, we argue that
the fundamental problem of the evolution of senescence, i.e. the
increasing risk of mortality and decline in reproduction with age after
maturity, remains unsolved. Theories of senescence predict the
inescapability of senescence, or its universality at least among species
with a clear germ-soma barrier. Here, using demographic information for
475 multicellular species, we exemplify the discrepancy between these
theoretical predictions and currently available data. We derive
age-based trajectories of mortality and reproduction whose form cannot
be satisfactorily explained by the theories of senescence, and show that
species’ may often display senescence for one fitness component but not
the other. We propose that theories of senescence must be extended
beyond merely individual chronological age; size, the species’
ecological context, and kin selection may all play hidden, yet integral
roles in shaping patterns of senescence.