The Spatio-Temporal Variation Characterization of Ecological Drought in
the Yangtze River Source Region, China Using a Standardized Water
Supply-Demand Index
Abstract
It is important for drought risk assessment and sustainable development
of water resources on the basis of understanding the spatio-temporal
characteristics of drought and return period. This study introduced a
new drought index, standardized supply-demand water index (SSDI), and a
run theory which are applied to identify ecological drought events and
parameters (e.g. duration, severity, peak and coverage area) in the
Yangtze River Source Region (YRSR). And the bivariate probability and
return period were calculated via 2-dimensional joint copula to
investigate the drought-prone regions. The results indicate that: (1)
Compared with traditional meteorological drought index, the SSDI is
reliable and can reflect the comprehensive characteristics of the
ecological drought information more easily and effectively; (2) The YRSR
had witnessed the most severe drought episodes in the periods of
late-1970s, mid-1980s and mid-1990s, but the SSDI showed a wetting trend
since mid-2000s. And droughts in the Southern YRSR were relatively more
severe with longer drought duration; (3) In most areas of Togton River
Basin and Dam River Basin, the severe ecological drought events happened
more frequently; (4) Drought duration and severity in the YRSR were more
susceptible to temperature when the temperature rise were above 1.0°C.
The average drought duration and severity increased by 20.7% and 32.6%
with a temperature rise of 1°C.