Abstract
Despite a substantial effect of reference evapotranspiration (ETref) in
irrigation practices and hydrological processes, trends and the causes
of such trends in ETref are scarcely investigated in Bangladesh. The
spatiotemporal trends in ETref, climatic factors influencing the
variations in ETref were investigated based on daily climate datasets
from 18 sites during 1980-2017. Modified Mann-Kendall, linear
regression, Morlet wavelet analysis (MWA) and cross wavelet transform
model were employed to appraise temporal variations in ETref and the
influential climatic variables. The empirical Bayesian kriging model was
used to understand the spatial variations of ETref on the annual and
seasonal time scales. The stepwise regression and partial correlation
coefficient (PCC) were adopted to identify factors influencing the
variations in ETref. The analysis showed a decrease in annual (-1.19
mm/year) and seasonal (-0.40 mm/decade for pre-monsoon, -0.47 mm/decade
for post-monsoon, -0.50 mm/decade for winter) ETref except for monsoon
in Bangladesh which is similar to “evapotranspiration paradox”
observed in some locations. Results of trend analysis also revealed that
though a rise in mean temperature (MT), a significant decline in
sunshine duration (SD) and wind speed (WS) are the major causes of the
decrease in ETref. Spatially, the higher annual ETref was found in the
southwestern region while the lower ETref was detected in the
northwestern region. The significant periods of 1-3 and 3-5-year cycles
were detected in the annual and seasonal ETref. The results exhibited a
significant coherence between ETref with climatic variables at various
time-frequency bands. Stepwise regression and PCC showed that the effect
of climatic variables on ETref differs on the annual and seasonal scales
whereas MT, RH, and SD mainly attributed to the variations ETref in
Bangladesh. These outcomes are anticipated to be beneficial for
irrigation designing a sustainable water practice considering the
effects of climate change and anthropogenic contributions.