Attributable factors for the rising caesarean delivery rate over three
decades: an observational cohort study
Abstract
Objective: Caesarean delivery rates continue to rise globally the
reasons for which are poorly understood. We aimed to characterize
attributable factors for increasing caesarean delivery rates over a
30-year period within our health network. Design: Observational cohort
study. Setting: Two hospitals (large tertiary referral hospital and
metropolitan hospital) in Sydney, Australia, across two time periods:
1989-1999 and 2009-2016, between which the caesarean delivery rate
increased from 19% to 30%. Participants: All women who had a caesarean
delivery after 24 weeks gestation Methods: Data were analysed using
multiple imputation and robust Poisson regression to estimate the
changes in the caesarean delivery rate attributable to maternal and
clinical factors. Main outcome measures: Caesarean delivery. Results:
Fifty-six percent of the increase in the rate of caesarean delivery was
attributed to changes in the distribution of maternal factors including
maternal age, body mass index, parity and history of previous caesarean
delivery. When changes in the obstetric management of multiple
gestation, malpresentation and preterm singleton birth were considered,
66% of the increase in caesarean rate was explained. When pre-labour
caesarean deliveries for maternal choice, suspected fetal compromise,
previous pregnancy issues and suspected large fetus were excluded, 78%
of the increase was explained. Conclusions: Most of the steep rise in
the caesarean delivery rate from 19% to 30% is attributable to changes
in maternal demographic and clinical factors.