Development a nomogram for predicting HELLP syndrome in women
complicated with gestational hypertension
Abstract
Objective Our study aimed to develop a simple-to-use nomogram
for predicting the occurrence of HELLP and factors that may make HELLP
progression within 3 days. Design The unpredictability of HELLP
syndrome and the severe adverse outcomes for both mother and child make
it especially important for us to seek predictive model.
Setting We used electronic data from Women’s Hospital, Zhejiang
University School of Medicine, between January 1,2014 and December
31,2023. Population or Sample A total of 808 patients were
included in this study, including 607 patients in non-HELLP syndrome
group and 201 patients in the HELLP syndrome group. methods
Single and multiple-factor logistic regression analyses were applied to
screen for independent factor affecting both the occurrence of HELLP
syndrome and within-3-day HELLP syndrome by R software. A nomogram of
HELLP syndrome and its efficacy were developed by ROC curves.
Results We developed a nomogram displayed very high
discrimination (C index 0.979, CI: 0.971-0.987). In the multivariate
regression analysis, blood urine nitrogen and the ratio of creatinine
over blood urea nitrogen were in a good significant in predicting
within-3-day HELLP syndrome. The sensitivity was found to be 68% and
65%, specificity to be 74% and 68.6% respectively.
Conclusions We established a great nomogram to evaluate the
occurrence of HELLP syndrome. And we found blood urine nitrogen and the
ratio of creatinine over blood urea nitrogen could be efficient
predictors of HELLP syndrome occurring within 3 days.