Climate-driven divergent selection in a foundation tree species: QST-FST
evidence from multiple common gardens
Abstract
Widespread tree species span large climatic gradients that often lead to
high levels of local adaptation and phenotypic divergence across their
range. To evaluate the relative roles of selection and drift in driving
divergence in phenotypic traits, we compared molecular and quantitative
genetic variation in Populus fremontii (Fremont cottonwood), using data
from > 9000 SNPs and genotypes from 16 populations
reciprocally planted in three common gardens that span the species’
climatic range. We present three major findings: 1) There is significant
within- and among-population variation in functional traits expressed in
each of the common gardens. 2) There is evidence from all three gardens
that population divergence in leaf phenology and specific leaf area has
been driven by divergent selection (QST > FST). In
contrast, QST-FST comparisons for performance traits like height and
basal diameter were highly dependent on growing environment, indicating
divergent, stabilizing, or no selection across the three gardens. We
show this is likely due to local adaptation of source populations to
contrasting growing environments. 3) Climate is a primary selective
force driving trait divergence, where the traits showing the strongest
correlations with a genotype’s provenance climate also had the highest
QST values. We conclude that climatic gradients have contributed to
significant phenotypic differences and local adaptation in Fremont
cottonwood. These results are important because as climate is changing
much more rapidly, traits such as phenology that are finely tuned to
local conditions may now be subject to intense selection or quickly
become maladaptive.