Sub-Antarctic Mode Waters (SAMWs) form to the north of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current (ACC) in the Indo-Pacific Ocean, whence they ventilate the ocean’s lower pycnocline and play an important role in the climate system. With a backward Lagrangian particle-tracking experiment in a data-assimilative model of the Southern Ocean (B-SOSE), we address the long-standing question of whether SAMWs originate from densification of southward-flowing subtropical waters, or lightening of northward-flowing Antarctic waters sourced by Circumpolar Deep Water (CDW) upwelling. Our analysis evidences the co-occurrence of both sources of SAMWs in all formation areas, and strong inter-basin contrasts in their relative contributions. Subtropical waters are the main precursor of Indian Ocean SAMWs (70-75% of particles) but contribute a smaller amount ($<$40%) to Pacific SAMWs, which are mainly sourced by CDW. By tracking property changes along particle trajectories, we show that SAMW formation from northern and southern sources involves contrasting drivers: subtropical source waters are cooled and densified by surface heat fluxes, and freshened by ocean mixing. Southern source waters are warmed and lightened by surface heat and freshwater fluxes, and they are made either saltier by mixing in the case of Indian SAMWs, or fresher by surface fluxes in the case of Pacific SAMWs. Our results underscore the distinct climatic impact of Indian and Pacific SAMWs, as net sources of atmospheric heat and net sinks of freshwater, respectively; a role that is conferred by the relative contributions of subtropical and Antarctic sources to their formation.

Nicola Brown

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The Arctic Ocean has been covered by sea ice year-round for much of the past, inhibiting the transfer of momentum from atmosphere to ocean, with the consequence that Arctic Ocean currents are generally slow and turbulent mixing weak. However, recent decades have seen accelerated lower tropospheric warming accompanied by declines in sea ice concentration, thickness and extent, and more recently, changes in the ocean, termed ”atlantification”, are beginning to be observed. Against this background, here we explore the nature of the Arctic Ocean ”double estuary”, whereby (mainly) inflowing Atlantic-sourced waters are transformed into both lighter and denser components in a two-cell density-overturning circulation. The double estuary is quantified using measurements, and a box model is employed to determine the relative significance of surface forcing versus turbulent mixing to water mass transformation. We generate a net Arctic Ocean profile of turbulent diffusivity that is used to test the likely contribution of tides to mixing, and we find that the outcome is most sensitive to mixing efficiency. We note that Arctic Ocean dense water formation adds to the recognised sites of dense water formation in the Nordic Seas and northern North Atlantic. Finally, we discuss how mixing rates may change in future as sea ice declines and the efficiency of atmosphere-to-ocean momentum transfer increases, leading to ocean ”spin-up” and more intense turbulent mixing, and the possible consequences thereof.