Essential Site Maintenance: Authorea-powered sites will be updated circa 15:00-17:00 Eastern on Tuesday 5 November.
There should be no interruption to normal services, but please contact us at [email protected] in case you face any issues.

loading page

Data Augmentation of Magnetograms for Solar Flare Prediction using Generative Adversarial Networks
  • Allison Liu,
  • Wendy Carande
Allison Liu
Laboratory for Atmospheric and Space Physics

Corresponding Author:[email protected]

Author Profile
Wendy Carande
Laboratory for Atmospheric and Space Physics
Author Profile

Abstract

Space weather forecasting remains a national priority in the United States due to the impacts of events like solar flares to life on Earth. High energy bursts of radiation originating from solar flares have the potential to disrupt critical infrastructure systems, including the power grid and GPS and radio communications. The rise of machine learning and the development of higher-quality instruments has greatly improved solar flare prediction models over the past decade. However, the magnetogram data used for solar flare forecasting—taken by the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory/Michelson Doppler Interferometer (SOHO/MDI) and the NASA Solar Dynamic Observatory/Helioseismic and Magnetic Imager (SDO/HMI) instruments—are incompatible due to differences in the cadence, resolution, and size of the data. Furthermore, many studies only focus on data from a single instrument which disregards decades worth of potential training data that is necessary to understand solar cycles. In this work, we show Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) can be used to super-resolve the historic lower-quality SOHO/MDI data set to match SDO/HMI quality to create a standardized magnetogram data set. The implementation of a Pix2Pix GAN produced some undesirable artifacts in the synthetic image while image translation methods CycleGAN and CUT preserved solar features present in the data more accurately, even in the absence of paired data. The resulting combined, higher-quality data set will be used to improve the predictive power of current solar flare forecasting models.