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Investigation of the Influences of Cloud Microphysics and Aerosol-Cloud Interactions on Solar Irradiance Using WRF-Solar Model
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  • Xin Zhou,
  • Yangang Liu,
  • Wuyin Lin,
  • Satoshi Endo,
  • Shinjae Yoo
Xin Zhou
Brookhaven National Laboratory

Corresponding Author:[email protected]

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Yangang Liu
Brookhaven National Laboratory
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Wuyin Lin
Brookhaven National Laboratory
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Satoshi Endo
Brookhaven National Laboratory
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Shinjae Yoo
Brookhaven National Laboratory
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Abstract

Accurate forecast of solar irradiance remains a major challenge, especially under the influences of aerosols, clouds and aerosol-cloud interactions due to their inadequate parameterizations in numerical prediction models. This study focuses on the impacts of cloud microphysics and the indirect aerosol effect on solar irradiance. The state of art Weather Research and Forecasting model specifically designed for simulating and forecasting solar radiation (WRF-Solar) is employed to investigate the sensitivity of the total solar irradiance and its partitioning into direct and diffuse irradiances to aerosol and cloud properties. First, a number of microphysical schemes will be tested against the measurements of shallow cumulus and stratiform clouds at the DOE ARM SGP site. Efforts will be made to quantify the uncertainty spread. The effects of cloud microphysics on surface solar irradiance will be identified. Second, the indirect aerosol effect on cloud formation and thus surface solar irradiance will be investigated by using the Thompson aerosol aware microphysical scheme and different treatment of aerosols. In particular, we will examine the aerosol indirect effects in different cloud regimes. To address the aforementioned problems, we will introduce a new model evaluation framework based on different WRF-Solar setups (nested WRF, WRF-LES, and single column WRF). In addition, different evaluation metrics will be used, including the RMSE, MAPE, and relative Euclidean distance. The results will provide physical insight into the understanding of aerosol-cloud-radiation interactions and into improving solar radiation forecast in cloudy conditions.