Ionospheric Disturbances Associated with Earthquake Precursors
Investigated by GNSS
Abstract
The prediction of natural disasters in general and earthquakes, in
particular, is becoming increasingly critical in providing early
warnings and mitigating catastrophes’ effects. This study investigates
relations between earthquakes and ionospheric disturbances. Based on
analyzing TEC disturbances, we search for the impact of the
earthquake-related seismic waves on the ionosphere. The study is
designed as cross-sectional investigations, in which the global
earthquakes are randomly collected by the cluster sampling method. We
use data of 54 permanent GNSS (Global Navigation Satellite Systems)
stations and global earthquakes with magnitudes (Mw) from 4.0 to 9.0 in
the period from 2006 to March 2020. The selected data ensure strict
conditions such as accuracy, the distance from the GNSS stations to the
epicenter, and the depth of hypocenter. Probability and statistics are
applied to filter, classify and analyze data. The results indicate that
TEC fluctuations at the regions occurring earthquakes with magnitudes
greater than 6.0 Mw are significant. These TEC anomalies appear from 30
minutes to around two hours before the mainshocks, and the oscillations
remain from five to eight minutes. These TEC variations occur from five
to eleven days before the great earthquakes. The results reveal the
relations between ionospheric anomalies and earthquake-related seismic
waves. The findings are the base to filter TEC anomalies generated by
earthquakes in building ionospheric models. The study also opens up a
prospect for GNSS applications in studying TEC anomalies linked to
earthquake precursors as well.