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Can hillslopes keep pace with landslide frequency in the humid tropics of Puerto Rico (USA)?
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  • Corina Cerovski-Darriau,
  • Jonathan Perkins,
  • Mong-Han Huang,
  • Matthew Thomas,
  • William Schulz
Corina Cerovski-Darriau
U.S. Geological Survey

Corresponding Author:[email protected]

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Jonathan Perkins
U.S. Geological Survey
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Mong-Han Huang
University of Maryland at College Park
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Matthew Thomas
U.S. Geological Survey
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William Schulz
U.S. Geological Survey
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Abstract

Bedrock weathering and soil production set the rate that hillslope colluvium is produced, while material properties determine whether sediment can fail under a given set of conditions. Together these factors generally control both the frequency and magnitude of landslides. In 2017, Puerto Rico (USA) experienced widespread landsliding across a range of lithologies due to Hurricane Maria, making it an ideal setting to explore the role of sediment generation in landslide response to storms. Based on an inventory of >70,000 landslides island-wide and detailed field mapping from a subset of source areas, we estimate that 0.01-0.1 km3 of material was evacuated from the hillslopes (approximately 1-10 mm of lowering). Focusing on the high-density landslide area of Utuado, we estimate an average lowering of 5-50 mm. From past inventories and records of storm events, a watershed is impacted by a hurricane every ~25 years with enough rain for widespread landslides every ~5 years. Assuming a similar density, the landslide contribution to hillslope lowering could be on the order of 1-10 mm/yr. In a humid-tropical environment, where weathering rates are likely high, can hillslopes continue to produce material at this pace? Elsewhere on the island, soil production rates are on the order of 0.1 mm/yr leading to soil residence times of approximately 10 ky. However, to keep pace with landslide events like Hurricane Maria, soil production likely needs to be at least an order of magnitude faster to maintain soil-mantled hillslopes in this study area. For our study area, we ask: has the large-magnitude rainfall from Hurricane Maria caused an abnormally high density of landsliding, resetting the clock on the material availability for areas like Utuado? Here we relate measures of material properties, bedrock weathering intensity, denudation, and land-use history to begin answering this question.