The Usefulness of Streamflow Reconstructions: Understanding the
Management Perspective
Abstract
The usefulness of extended records of streamflow from tree-ring based
hydrologic reconstructions seems obvious- a longer record provides a
broader range of the variability of extremes and allows recent and/or
ongoing events to be evaluated in a long-term context. The information
from these centuries-long records may have clear implications for water
resource management, but it is often unclear exactly how this
information can be applied to management. In this presentation, I will
discuss some of the challenges I have observed that are involved in
using streamflow reconstructions in management decisions. These range
from issues related to an agency’s capacity to use new types of data to
mismatches between what is needed (e.g., daily resolution, a network of
gage inputs) and what reconstruction data provide. The skillfulness of a
streamflow reconstruction also has a bearing on its perceived
credibility in terms of useable data. In spite of these challenges,
there is a variety of ways that these data have been used by water
resource managers in the western US. The uses are often not immediately
evident, but can take the form of, for example, sensitively assessment,
awareness raising, and shifts in prior assumptions. Relationship
building between researchers and resource managers can yield mutual
respect and understanding that lead to both interesting research
questions and relevant and valuable information, even if the application
to management is not tangible or immediate.