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A multilevel mechanistic model of diversity change
  • +6
  • William Godsoe,
  • Warwick Allen,
  • Lauren Waller,
  • Barbara Barratt,
  • Sarah Flanagan,
  • Zachary Marion,
  • Jason Tylianakis,
  • Elena Moltchanova,
  • Ian Dickie
William Godsoe
Lincoln University

Corresponding Author:[email protected]

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Warwick Allen
University of Canterbury
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Lauren Waller
Lincoln University
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Barbara Barratt
AgResearch
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Sarah Flanagan
University of Canterbury
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Zachary Marion
Statistics New Zealand
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Jason Tylianakis
University of Canterbury
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Elena Moltchanova
University of Canterbury
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Ian Dickie
University of Canterbury
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Abstract

Changes in biodiversity reflect processes acting on the success of individual species at multiple spatial scales, including in communities, biogeographic regions, and globally. This complexity makes it difficult to analyse the mechanisms shaping diversity change using traditional approaches. To resolve this, we propose a novel approach to partition total biodiversity changes according to mechanisms reflecting species' success at multiple scales. We apply this approach to study changes in the diversity of invertebrate herbivores from a large-scale, plant community experiment. This partitioning showed that rapid changes in the relative abundances of individual species resulted in surprisingly small changes in diversity across scales. Our novel analytical method reveals how strong ecological effects at different hierarchical levels can counteract each other, resulting in weak effects on diversity across broad spatial scales.