Abstract
Rivers play an important role in human production and life. On the one
hand, rivers provide water for human production and life. On the other
hand, when the river has too much water, it will bring flood disasters
to human beings. Therefore, the prediction of river runoff is
particularly important. Accurate runoff prediction can not only provide
basic data for the allocation and operation of water resources, but also
provide reference for flood control and waterlogging control of the
basin. The formation process of runoff is affected by rainfall,
underlying surface, human activities and other factors. The improvement
of runoff prediction accuracy has always been a difficult problem in the
hydrological field. Because the runoff is affected by many factors and
contains a lot of noise, the prediction accuracy will be reduced by
using the data containing noise. EEMD is a good tool to separate signal
and noise. This method is used to preprocess the runoff series,
decompose the runoff series into multiple IMF intrinsic modulus, and
then use the ANFIS algorithm with strong nonlinear approximation ability
to predict each IMF function, and then reconstruct the predicted data to
improve the prediction accuracy of runoff. By comparison, the prediction
accuracy of EEMD-ANFIS model is about 34% higher than that of ANFIS
model.