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A case study on the disruptive effects of drought in natural plant epidemics
  • +3
  • Keenan Duggal,
  • Juliana Jiranek,
  • Maddie Machado,
  • Peyton Smith,
  • Ian Miller,
  • Jessica Metcalf
Keenan Duggal
Princeton University

Corresponding Author:[email protected]

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Juliana Jiranek
University of Virginia
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Maddie Machado
Princeton University
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Peyton Smith
Princeton University
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Ian Miller
Rocky Mountain Biological Laboratory
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Jessica Metcalf
Princeton University
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Abstract

The scale of influence of hydrological and thermal conditions on plant disease remains uncertain for most natural plant pathosystems, restricting our ability to predict the potential impacts of climate change. Analysis of the spatiotemporal spread of a fungal rust pathogen across four naturally occurring flax populations over the course of five growing seasons reveals both expected relationships with snow cover, relative humidity and temperature, and a novel footprint of severe drought. This indicates that climate change may have substantial drought-mediated impacts on the spread of plant disease, and points to a need for further research integrating population-level epidemiological studies with mechanistic environmental studies to explore the effects of drought on natural plant epidemics.
23 Apr 2024Submitted to Oikos
24 Apr 2024Review(s) Completed, Editorial Evaluation Pending
10 Jun 2024Reviewer(s) Assigned
23 Aug 2024Editorial Decision: Revise Major
11 Oct 20241st Revision Received
11 Oct 2024Submission Checks Completed
11 Oct 2024Assigned to Editor
11 Oct 2024Review(s) Completed, Editorial Evaluation Pending
24 Oct 2024Reviewer(s) Assigned
12 Nov 2024Editorial Decision: Accept