Assessment of Agricultural Land Conversion in Vegetable Pocket Areas of
Dhading District, Nepal
Abstract
The increasing trend of transformation of land at the expense of fertile
agricultural land is becoming troublesome and threatens food security
worldwide. The scenario is more severe at the rural-urban interface and
the agrarian land on the outskirt of larger cities is at greater risk,
however, the extensive literature is not readily available in the
Nepalese context. This study focuses on the land use patterns and
variables shaping farmers’ choices for the future use of land in
Dhading, Nepal. The analysis of land use patterns showed that, between
2013 and 2022, productive agricultural land decreased by 60.28% while
non-farm use of land increased by 93.14% in the study area of
Dhunibeshi Municipality, Dhading. The cross-sectional survey data among
vegetable farming households showed that 36% of the household were
eager to switch from farming to non-farm use of their land in the near
future. Based on binary logistic regression, land ownership, the share
of family income from vegetable production, the proposal received for
land conversion, and proximity variables like distance between farmland
to the closest non-farm firm, were found to be statistically significant
in shaping the farmers’ decisions on agricultural land conversion. The
land ownership and lower family income from agriculture activities were
identified as major push factors, while the proximity of the farm to
non-farm firms, and proposals for urban use of land were identified as
major pull factors for land conversion. The widespread adoption of
low-cost production strategies in agriculture, and effective
implementation of a land-use policy could contribute towards sustainable
agricultural land management in the future.