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Asynchronous population trends stabilize mesopredatory coral reef fish communities in the face of global change.
  • +12
  • Rucha Karkarey,
  • Eva Maire,
  • Nicholas Graham,
  • Valeriano Parravicini,
  • Simon Brandl,
  • Jeremy Carlot,
  • Mehdi Adjeroud,
  • Teresa Alcoverro,
  • Rohan Arthur,
  • Shaun Wilson,
  • Jordan Goetze,
  • Thomas Holmes,
  • Julien Wickel,
  • Dan Exton,
  • Sally Keith
Rucha Karkarey
Lancaster University Lancaster Environment Centre

Corresponding Author:[email protected]

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Eva Maire
2. MARBEC, University of Montpellier, CNRS, Ifremer, IRD, Montpellier, France.
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Nicholas Graham
Lancaster University
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Valeriano Parravicini
PSL Université Paris, Ecole Pratique des Hautes Etudes, USR 3278 CRIOBE, Université de Perpignan, Perpignan, France.
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Simon Brandl
The University of Texas at Austin
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Jeremy Carlot
Sorbonne Université, CNRS-INSU, Laboratoire d’Océanographie de Villefranche, 181 chemin du Lazaret, Villefranche-sur-Mer–06230, France
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Mehdi Adjeroud
Université de la Nouvelle-Calédonie
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Teresa Alcoverro
Centre d’Estudis Avançats de Blanes (CEAB-CSIC)
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Rohan Arthur
Nature Conservation Foundation
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Shaun Wilson
Australian Institute of Marine Science, UWA Oceans Institute
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Jordan Goetze
Western Australia Department of Biodiversity Conservation and Attractions
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Thomas Holmes
University of Western Australia
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Julien Wickel
MAREX Ltd
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Dan Exton
Operation Wallacea
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Sally Keith
Lancaster University
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Abstract

Biodiversity can underpin stability in communities, allowing them to withstand environmental fluctuations without changes in aggregate properties like total abundance or biomass. We investigated the influence of biodiversity on two crucial population-level mechanisms governing abundance stability in mesopredatory coral reef fishes: (i) ’community asynchrony’, where species populations fluctuate inversely over time, and (ii) ’species population stability’, where highly abundant species with significant community contributions display minimal population fluctuations. Analyzing temporal data from 81 reef fish communities across the Indian and Pacific Oceans over a decade, we found that community asynchrony, rather than species population stability, primarily predicts community stability. Functional diversity, not taxonomic diversity, characterised this stability, emphasizing the role of niche differences in stabilizing communities. We highlight that community attributes that promote asynchronous population fluctuations, enhancing response diversity and tempering strong trophic interactions, are vital for stabilizing mesopredatory reef fish communities in the face of global change.