Updated sustainability status of cadmium telluride thin-film
photovoltaic systems and projections
Abstract
This paper provides a comprehensive assessment of the up-to-date
life-cycle sustainability status of cadmium-telluride based photovoltaic
(PV) systems. Current production modules (Series 6 and Series 7) are
analyzed in terms of their energy performance and environmental
footprint and compared with the older series 4 module production and
current single-crystalline-silicon (sc-Si) module production. For
fixed-tilt systems with series 6 modules operating under average US
irradiation of 1800 kWh/m 2/yr, the global warming
potential (GWP) is reduced from 16 g CO2 eq/kWh in
Series 4 systems to 10 CO2 eq/kWh in Series 6 systems.
For operation in US-SW irradiation of 2300 kWh/m2 the GWP is reduced
from 11 CO2eq/kWh to 8 CO2eq/kWh and for 1-axis tracking systems
operating in Phoenix, Arizona with point-of array irradiation of 3051
kWh/m 2/yr the GWP is reduced to 6.5 CO2
eq/kWh. Similar reductions have happened in all
environmental indicators. Energy payback times (EPBT) of currently
installed systems range from 0.6 years for fixed-tilt ground-mounted
installations at average U.S. irradiation at latitude tilt
installations, to 0.3 years for one-axis trackers at high US-SW
irradiation, considering average fossil-fuel dominated electricity grids
with fuel to electricity conversion efficiency of 0.3. The resulting
energy return on energy investment (EROI) also depends on the conversion
efficiency of the electricity grid and on the operation life expectance.
For a 30-year operational life and grid conversion efficiency of 0.3,
EROI ranges from 50 (at US average irradiation) to 70 for US-SW
irradiation. The EROI declines with increased grid conversion
efficiency; for CdTe PV operating in south California with grid
conversion efficiency of 49% the EROI is about 50 and is projected to
fall to 30 when the state’s 2030 target of 80% renewable energy
penetration materializes. Material alternatives that show a potential of
further reductions in degradation rates and materials for enhanced
encapsulation that would enable longer operation lives are also been
investigated. A degradation rate of 0.3%/year, which has been verified
by accelerated testing, is assumed in 30-year scenarios; this is
projected to be reduced to 0.2%/yr in the near-term and potentially to
0.1%/yr in the longer term. With such low degradation rates and
enhanced edge-sealing, modules can last 40- to 50-years. Consequently,
all impact indicators will be proportionally reduced while EROI will
increase.