Approximate Power Flow Solutions-Based Forecasting-Aided State
Estimation for Power Distribution Networks
Abstract
Emerging forecasting-aided state estimation (FASE) frequently encounters
complicated parameter analysis and observation calculation tasks,
especially when confronted with intricate and uncertain scenarios. To
this end, a concise FASE estimator is developed by combining the precise
depiction of dynamic state change and linear power flow approximation.
Designing the dynamic system state as a voltage perturbation vector
around the nominal value, the forecasted state is firstly derived from
the linear approximation of power injection equation solutions. The
state forecasting model relies solely on nodal impedance information as
the state transition matrix, eliminating the onerous parameter tuning
effort. After that, the optimal filtered state is efficiently obtained
utilizing line power flow measurements, with branch admittance
information to construct the approximate observation matrix. Numerical
simulation comparisons on a symmetric balanced 56-node distribution
system verify the performance of the proposed estimator in terms of
accuracy and robustness.