Inferring ancestral climatic niches in a world without clear-cut
climatic boundaries
Abstract
The world’s diverse and complex climates pose significant challenges in
ecological and evolutionary studies, frequently resulting in climatic
characterizations that overlook the significance of transitional
climates. This study examines the nature and distribution of the
transitions between climatic regions worldwide and evaluates their
impact for inferring the past and present climatic preferences of the
Asian Palmates, a highly diverse and climatically complex lineage of
Araliaceae. We find consistent geographic patterns of transitions
worldwide and extraordinarily heterogeneous climates in the transitions
between the temperate and tropical climates in Eurasia. Notably, many
current genera of the Asian Palmates and their early ancestors have
strong affinities for transitional zones, suggesting an initial
diversification under such climates. Such results emphasize the
significance of transitional climates in understanding niche diversity
and evolutionary patterns and calls for a (re)evaluation of the role of
transitional areas in promoting biodiversity across the Tree of Life.