Similar conditions with opposite effects: Predation-risk effects on prey
abundance are highly contingent
Abstract
Experiments have shown that predation risk effects on prey fitness can
be highly contingent on environmental conditions, suggesting a potential
difficulty in generalizing risk effects on prey abundance in natural
settings. We examine this problem with a novel approach. Rather than
study the influence of a particular controlled factor, we examined the
influence on risk effects of study conditions that would likely be
deemed inconsequential, i.e., to factors incidental to a study. If such
incidental factors influence can influence the magnitude and even
direction of risk effects, this suggests risk effects on prey population
density are profoundly influenced by context in natural communities. We
compared results of multiple experiments conducted under similar
conditions, objectives, measurables and implementation, and which
captured much of the complexity of natural systems (e.g., they were
performed with diverse prey assemblages (≥11 taxa) over multiple prey
generations). There was consistently no risk effect of fish on some
zooplankton prey abundance, but great variability effect on other prey
including combinations of negative, absent or positive effects on the
same prey’s abundance. We review mechanisms that could underlie these
results. Our findings highlight the need to understand the mechanisms
linking trait responses to fitness and, ultimately, to abundance of
prey, to understand risk effects across studies and systems.