Range-shift of a European moth into urban habitats is detected by social
media data but not traditional monitoring
Abstract
As the world’s climate changes, species are undergoing range shifts.
Range shifts are generally documented using databases such as the Global
Biodiversity Information Facility (GBIF), which largely contain data
from monitoring schemes and wildlife surveys. Such databases have two
major limitations: i) data may be spatially biased because traditionally
surveyed areas are in rural habitats, ii) there is a time lag between
data collection and assimilation into GBIF, which means rapid range
shifts cannot be tracked. Alternative data sources, such as social
media, could provide information on species distributions and range
shifts that compensate for spatial biases in GBIF records because social
media data may be collected outside traditional surveyed areas. Such
data are also usually shared online immediately after a wildlife
sighting. The complementarity of GBIF and social media data, however,
has rarely been assessed, particularly when tracking range shifts.
Despite their potential utility, social media data may be particularly
prone to temporary trends or geographic variation in behaviour that are
not understood. We lack tools with which to counter these biases. To
address these knowledge gaps, we compare the habitat usage revealed by
biological records of the Jersey tiger moth from GBIF and from multiple
social media data sources (Instagram, iNaturalist, and Flickr). We
develop a novel method to account for recorder bias in social media
data. We find that biological records from iNaturalist and Instagram
reveal greater than expected occurrence in urban environments, greatly
affecting the accuracy of habitat suitability models. We also develop a
method for comparing recorder effort between multiple data sources.
Recorder effort differs notably between data sources, and Instagram
complements GBIF by recording species in areas unaccounted for by GBIF.
By incorporating recorder effort metrics, data from social media sources
could be used to improve monitoring of range shifting species in urban
spaces.