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CNN-LSTM Time Series Forecasting of Electricity Power Generation Considering Biomass Thermal Systems
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  • William Buratto,
  • Rafael Muniz,
  • Ademir Nied,
  • Carlos Barros,
  • Rodolfo Cardoso,
  • Gabriel Gonzalez
William Buratto
UDESC

Corresponding Author:[email protected]

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Rafael Muniz
Federal Fluminense University
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Ademir Nied
University of Santa Catarina State
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Carlos Barros
Federal Fluminense University
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Rodolfo Cardoso
Federal Fluminense University
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Gabriel Gonzalez
University of Salamanca
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Abstract

The use of biomass as a renewable energy source for electricity generation has gained attention due to its sustainability and environmental benefits. However, the intermittent electricity demand poses challenges for optimizing electricity generation in thermal systems. Time series forecasting techniques are crucial in addressing these challenges by providing accurate predictions of biomass availability and electricity generation. In this paper, convolutional neural networks (CNN) are used to extract features of the time series, and long short-term memory (LSTM) is applied to perform the predictions. The result of the mean absolute percentage error equal to 0.02562 shows that the CNN-LSTM is a promising machine learning methodology for electricity generation forecasting. Additionally, this paper discusses the importance of model evaluation techniques and validation strategies to assess the performance of forecasting models in real-world applications. Finally, future research directions and potential advancements in time series forecasting for biomass thermal systems are outlined to foster continued innovation in sustainable energy generation.
11 Jun 2024Submitted to IET Generation, Transmission & Distribution
13 Jun 2024Submission Checks Completed
13 Jun 2024Assigned to Editor
23 Jun 2024Reviewer(s) Assigned