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Cycles in hydrologic intensification and de-intensification create instabilities in spring nitrate-N export C-Q behavior in northern temperate forests
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  • Irena F Creed,
  • David A Aldred,
  • Jason Andrew Leach,
  • Kara Webster,
  • Magdalena Bieroza
Irena F Creed
University of Toronto

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David A Aldred
University of Toronto
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Jason Andrew Leach
Canadian Forest Service
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Kara Webster
Canadian Forest Serv, 1219 Queen St East, Sault Ste Marie, ON P6A 2E5, Canada.
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Magdalena Bieroza
Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences
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Abstract

Northern temperate forests are experiencing changes from climate and acidification recovery that influence catchment nitrate-nitrogen (N) flushing behavior. N flushing behavior is characterized by metrics such as: (a) N flushing time—the exponential decrease in stream N concentration during the peak snowmelt episode; and (b) N concentration (C) and discharge (Q) hysteresis metrics—flushing index (FI) and hysteresis index (HI)—representing the slope, direction and amplitude of the C-Q loop. We hypothesize that climate-driven hydrologic intensification results in longer N flushing times, lower FI (less flushing to more diluting), and lower HI (less proximal to more distal N sources). We tested this hypothesis using 38 years of data from two headwater catchments. Hydrologic intensification was estimated by changes in the ratio of potential evapotranspiration to precipitation and the ratio of actual evapotranspiration to precipitation. From 1982 to 2005, a period of hydrologic intensification and a decline in atmospheric acidic deposition was associated with a decrease in C and Q, leading to stable C-Q patterns that reflected flushing (positive FI) of proximal N sources (positive HI). However, from 2006 to 2019, a period of hydrologic de-intensification coupled with an ongoing decline in atmospheric acidic deposition was associated with a continued decrease in C but an increase in Q, leading to unstable C-Q patterns that reflected diluting (negative FI) of distal N sources (negative HI). C-Q instability was buffered in the catchment with a large wetland, indicating the potential of wetlands to buffer against changing climate conditions.