Spatial Patterns of Ecological Risk and Its Constraint Factors in the
Wuling Mountain Region, China
Abstract
Identifying the ecological risk patterns and the dominant ecological
risks for ecosystems is crucial for optimizing regional ecological
environment quality and formulating sustainable socioeconomic
development polices. We established an ecological risk assessment (ERA)
model for the Wuling Mountain region to identify the dominant ecological
risks in the region and analyzed the constraint effects of the
influencing factors on the ecological risk. The results indicated that
the relatively high-risk areas were mainly distributed in the
northeastern and western regions, along with scattered areas of high
risk. The area which had dominant ecological risks was 89,500 km
2, accounting for 52.14% of the total area.
Meanwhile, the regions with higher ecological risks had multiple
dominant risk types. Among all influencing factors, NPP, population
density (POP) and temperature (TMP) were highlighted as key factors
affecting ecological risk, with an explanatory power consistently
exceeding 0.20. There were three types of constraint effects of
influencing factors on ecological risk, including logarithmic, negative
convex and hump-shaped. Thresholds occurred for the constraint lines of
TMP, precipitation (PRE), evapotranspiration (EVA), NPP, elevation (DEM)
and slope (SLO), respectively, indicating that the stressors influencing
ecological risk vary on either side of these thresholds. This finding is
significant for policy formulation, as it allows for prioritization of
adjustments based on the explanatory power and the magnitude of these
threshold values. Overall, the results of this study provide a
comprehensive regulatory framework and regionally targeted scientific
support for ecological protection and restoration in the Wuling Mountain
region.