Critical microendemism: spatial scales and environmental drivers in the
field detection of the Atacama water frog
Abstract
Aim: Telmatobius atacamensis presents Linnaean (unknown species),
Wallacean (unknown geographic distributions), and Hutchinsonian (unknown
abiotic tolerances) knowledge deficits that can be reduced with species
distribution models (SDM). We calculated and validated the distribution
range of T. atacamensis in the Andean plateau by combining
geoprocessing tools and SDM configured with climatic and vegetation
variables. Location: Andean plateau, northern Argentina. Taxon: Anura,
Leptodactylidae. Methods: To estimate the niches of this microendemic
species and know its conservation status we applied SDM configured with
climatic and vegetation variables at one and 10 km spatial resolution.
We apply and configure the Maxent, Random Forest, Support Vector
Machine, and Domain algorithms from the R package ENMTML. We perform
field validation of the predictions at sites with a high probability of
detection. Results: All the predictions obtained showed high
performances in 1k (AUC = 0.98 ± 0.02; Sorensen = 0.97 ± 0.03, mean ±
standard deviation), and 10k (AUC = 0.90 ± 0.05; Sorensen = 0.94 ± 0.05)
of spatial resolution. Depending on the environmental variables and
spatial scales used, the SDM allowed the niche identification of
Telmatobiidae, Leptodactylidae, Bufonidae families, Telmatobius
genus, and the target species. Main conclusions: Combining climatic and
vegetation variables could improve the algorithm’s performance and the
amphibian’s predictions; our results expanded the databases for a
microendemic species. T. atacamensis may not be strictly
microendemic; field validation increased the database, suggesting wider
distributions than previously thought. The conservation status of
T. atacamensis is critical; besides being an endemic species,
critically endangered, and with niches overlapping with the Lithium
Triangle, only five conservation units protect 25.6% of its critical
habitats. Our results partially reduce the Wallacean deficit; there are
no management policies and expanding field validation efforts represent
basic inputs that could outline new effective management and
conservation strategies by national and international authorities.