Molecular footprints of Quaternary climate fluctuations in the
circumpolar tundra shrub dwarf birch
Abstract
The Arctic tundra biome is undergoing rapid shrub expansion
(“shrubification”) in response to anthropogenic climate change. During
the previous ~2.6 million years, glacial cycles caused
substantial shifts in Arctic vegetation, leading to changes in species’
distributions, abundance, and connectivity, which have left lasting
impacts on the genetic structure of modern populations. Examining how
shrubs responded to past climate change using genetic data can inform
the ecological and evolutionary consequences of shrub expansion today.
Here we test scenarios of Quaternary population history of dwarf birch
species (Betula nana L. and Betula Glandulosa Michx.) using SNP markers
obtained from RAD sequencing and approximate Bayesian computation. We
compare the timings of population events with ice sheet reconstructions
and other paleoenvironmental information to untangle the impacts of
alternating cold and warm periods on the phylogeography of dwarf birch.
Our best supported model suggested that the species diverged in the
Mid-Pleistocene Transition as glaciations intensified, and ice sheets
expanded. We found support for a complex history of inter- and
intraspecific divergences and gene flow, with secondary contact
occurring during periods of both expanding and retreating ice sheets.
Our spatiotemporal analysis suggests that the modern genetic structure
of dwarf birch was shaped by transitions in climate between glacials and
interglacials, with ice sheets acting alternatively as a barrier or an
enabler of population mixing. Tundra shrubs may have had more nuanced
responses to past climatic changes than phylogeographic analyses have
often suggested, with implications for future eco-evolutionary responses
to anthropogenic climate change.