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Bronke Boudewijns

and 24 more

Background: This study aimed to establish a Severity Scale for influenza and other acute respiratory infections (ARI), requiring hospitalization, for surveillance and research purposes (the SevScale). Such a scale could aid the interpretation of data gathered from disparate settings. This could facilitate pooled analyses linking viral genetic sequencing data to clinical severity, bringing insights to inform influenza surveillance and the vaccine strain selection process. Methods: We used a subset of data from the Global Influenza Hospital Surveillance Network database, including data from different geographical areas and income levels. To quantify the underlying concept of severity, an item response model was developed using sixteen indicators of severity related to the hospital stay. Each patient in the dataset was assigned a Severity Score and a Severity Category (low, medium, or high severity). Finally, we compared the model scores across different subgroups. Results: Data from 9 countries were included, covering between 4 and 11 seasons from 2012 to 2022, with a total of 96,190 ARI hospitalizations. Not for all severity indicators data was available for all included seasons. Subgroups with a high percentage of patients in the High Severity Category included influenza A(H1N1)pdm09, age ≥50, lower-middle income countries, and admission since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic. Conclusions: The initial model successfully highlighted severity disparities across patient subgroups. Repeating this exercise with new, more complete data would allow recalibration and validation of the current model. The SevScale proved to be a promising method to define severity for influenza vaccine strain selection, surveillance and research.

Nancy Otieno

and 10 more

Objective: To describe the burden of influenza among pregnant women and their young infants. Design: Prospective cohort study. Setting: Rural western Kenya. Population: Pregnant women below 31 weeks of gestation and their infants aged 6 months and below Methods: We conducted weekly follow-up until 6 months postpartum to identify acute respiratory illnesses (ARI). We collected nasal/nasopharyngeal and oropharyngeal swabs from mothers/infants with ARI and tested for influenza A and B using polymerase chain reaction. We calculated incidence of laboratory-confirmed influenza per 1,000 person-months. Main outcome measure: Incidence of medically attended influenza illness among pregnant women and its impact on birth outcomes. Results: During June 2015–May 2020, we enrolled 3,026 pregnant women at a median gestational age of 16 weeks (interquartile range [IQR], 13, 18) and followed 2,550 infants. Incidence of laboratory-confirmed influenza during pregnancy (10.3 episodes per 1,000 person-months [95% CI 8.6–11.8]) was 2-fold higher than in the postpartum period (4.0 [95% CI 2.6–5.5]; p<0.01), and significantly higher among HIV-infected pregnant women (15.6 [95% CI 11.0–20.6] vs. 9.1 [95% CI 7.5–10.8]; p<0.01). Incidence among young infants was 4.4 (95% CI 3.0–5.9) and similar among HIV-exposed and HIV-unexposed infants. Conclusion: Our findings suggest a substantial burden of influenza illnesses during pregnancy, with a higher burden among HIV-infected mothers. Kenyan authorities should consider the value of vaccinating pregnant women, especially if HIV-infected. Funding: This work was supported by funding [Grant number GH002133] from the U.S. CDC, through the Influenza Division. Keywords: Burden, influenza, pregnant women, infants