The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) is a leading mode of atmospheric variability, affecting the North Atlantic Ocean on sub-seasonal to multi-decadal timescales. The NAO changes the atmospheric forcing at the ocean’s surface, including winds and surface buoyancy fluxes, both of which are known to impact large-scale gyre circulation. However, the relative role of other physical processes (such as mesoscale eddies and topography) in influencing gyre circulation under NAO variability is not fully understood. Here, we analyze a series of ocean–sea ice simulations using a barotropic vorticity budget to understand long-term response of the North Atlantic gyre circulation to NAO forcing. We find that for each standard deviation increase in the NAO index, the subtropical and subpolar gyres intensify by 0.90 Sv and 3.41 Sv (1 Sv = 10⁶ m³ s⁻¹) respectively. The NAO-induced wind stress anomalies drive approximately 90\% of the change in the subtropical gyre’s interior flow. However, in the subpolar gyre’s interior, in addition to wind stress, flow-topography interactions, stratification (influenced by surface heat fluxes), and non-linear advection significantly influence the circulation. Along the western boundary the bottom pressure torque plays a key role in steering the flow, and the vorticity input by the bottom pressure torque is partly redistributed by non-linear advection. Our study highlights the importance of both atmospheric forcing and oceanic dynamical processes in driving long-term gyre circulation responses to the NAO.

A holistic review is given of the Southern Ocean dynamic system, in the context of the crucial role it plays in the global climate and the profound changes it is experiencing. The review focuses on connections between different components of the Southern Ocean dynamic system, drawing together contemporary perspectives from different research communities, with the objective of "closing loops" in our understanding of the complex network of feedbacks in the overall system. The review is targeted at researchers in Southern Ocean physical science with the ambition of broadening their knowledge beyond their specific field and facilitating better-informed interdisciplinary collaborations. For the purposes of this review, the Southern Ocean dynamic system is divided into four main components: large-scale circulation; cryosphere; turbulence; and gravity waves. Overviews are given of the key dynamical phenomena for each component, before describing the linkages between the components. The reviews are complemented by an overview of observed Southern Ocean trends and future climate projections. Priority research areas are identified to close remaining loops in our understanding of the Southern Ocean system.

Current eddy-permitting and eddy-resolving ocean models require dissipation to prevent a spurious accumulation of enstrophy at the grid scale. We introduce a new numerical scheme for momentum advection in large-scale ocean models that involves upwinding through a weighted essentially non-oscillatory (WENO) reconstruction. The new scheme provides implicit dissipation and thereby avoids the need for an additional explicit dissipation that may require calibration of unknown parameters. This approach uses the rotational, "vector invariant" formulation of the momentum advection operator that is widely employed by global general circulation models. A novel formulation of the WENO "smoothness indicators" is key for avoiding excessive numerical dissipation of kinetic energy and enstrophy at grid-resolved scales. We test the new advection scheme against a standard approach that combines explicit dissipation with a dispersive discretization of the rotational advection operator in two scenarios: (i) two-dimensional turbulence and (ii) three-dimensional baroclinic equilibration. In both cases, the solutions are stable, free from dispersive artifacts, and achieve increased "effective" resolution compared to other approaches commonly used in ocean models.

A document by Simone Silvestri. Click on the document to view its contents.

We describe CATKE, a parameterization for ocean microturbulence with scales between 1 and 100 meters. CATKE is a one-equation model that predicts diffusive turbulent vertical fluxes a prognostic turbulent kinetic energy (TKE) and a diagnostic mixing length that features a dynamic model for convective adjustment (CA). With its convective mixing length, CATKE predicts not just the depth range where microturbulence acts but also the timescale over which mixing occurs, an important aspect of turbulent convection not captured by convective adjustment schemes. As a result, CATKE can describe the competition between convection and other processes such as baroclinic restractification or biogeochemical production-destruction. We estimate CATKE’s free parameters with a posteriori calibration to eighteen large eddy simulations of the ocean surface boundary layer, and validate CATKE against twelve additional large eddy simulations with stronger and weaker forcing than used during calibration. We find that a CATKE-parameterized single column model accurately predicts the depth structure of buoyancy and momentum at vertical resolutions between 2 and 16 meters and with time steps of 10-20 minutes. We propose directions for future model development, and future efforts to recalibrate CATKE’s parameters against more comprehensive and realistic datasets.

We describe CATKE, a parameterization for fluxes associated with small-scale or “microscale’ ocean turbulent mixing on scales between 1 and 100 meters. CATKE uses a downgradient formulation that depends on a prognostic turbulent kinetic energy (TKE) variable and a diagnostic mixing length scale that includes a dynamic convective adjustment (CA) component. With its dynamic convective mixing length, CATKE predicts not just the depth spanned by convective plumes but also the characteristic convective mixing timescale, an important aspect of turbulent convection not captured by simpler static convective adjustment schemes. As a result, CATKE can describe the competition between convection and other processes such as shear-driven mixing and baroclinic restratification. To calibrate CATKE, we use Ensemble Kalman Inversion to minimize the error between 21~large eddy simulations (LES) and predictions of the LES data by CATKE-parameterized single column simulations at three different vertical resolutions. We find that CATKE makes accurate predictions of both idealized and realistic LES compared to microscale turbulence parameterizations commonly used in climate models.

Studies of ocean surface transport often invoke the “Eulerian-mean hypothesis”: that wave-agnostic general circulation models neglecting explicit surface waves effects simulate the Eulerian-mean ocean velocity time-averaged over surface wave oscillations. Acceptance of the Eulerian-mean hypothesis motivates reconstructing the total, Lagrangian-mean surface velocity by adding Stokes drift to model output. Here, we show that the Eulerian-mean hypothesis is inconsistent, because wave-agnostic models cannot accurately simulate the Eulerian-mean velocity if Stokes drift is significant compared to the Eulerian-mean or Lagrangian-mean velocity. We conclude that Stokes drift should not be added to ocean general circulation model output. We additionally show the viability of the alternative “Lagrangian-mean hypothesis” using a theoretical argument and by comparing a wave-agnostic global ocean simulation with an explicitly wave-averaged simulation. We find that our wave-agnostic model accurately simulates the Lagrangian-mean velocity even though the Stokes drift is significant.

Zonal flows in rotating systems have been previously shown to be suppressed by the imposition of a background magnetic field aligned with the direction of rotation. Understanding the physics behind the suppression may be important in systems found in astrophysical fluid dynamics, such as stellar interiors. However, the mechanism of suppression has not yet been explained. In the idealized setting of a magnetized beta plane, we provide a theoretical explanation that shows how magnetic fluctuations directly counteract the growth of weak zonal flows. Two distinct calculations yield consistent conclusions. The first, which is simpler and more physically transparent, extends the Kelvin-Orr shearing wave to include magnetic fields and shows that weak, long-wavelength shear flow organizes magnetic fluctuations to absorb energy from the mean flow. The second calculation, based on the quasilinear, statistical CE2 framework, is valid for arbitrary wavelength zonal flow and predicts a self-consistent growth rate of the zonal flow. We find that a background magnetic field suppresses zonal flow if the bare Alfvén frequency is comparable to or larger than the bare Rossby frequency. However, suppression can occur for even smaller magnetic field if the resistivity is sufficiently small enough to allow sizable magnetic fluctuations. Our calculations reproduce the η/B0^2 = const. scaling that describes the boundary of zonation, as found in previous work, and we explicitly link this scaling to the amplitude of magnetic fluctuations. These results could provide a plausible explanation for why the zonal jets in Jupiter go as deep as Juno has discovered but not any deeper.

Wind is an important driver of large-scale ocean currents, imparting momentum into the ocean at the sea surface. In particular, strong westerly winds help to drive the Antarctic Circumpolar Current, which of key importance for the global climate system. Over the past decades observations established that the strength of the westerlies over the Southern Ocean has increased as a result of climate change forcing. This increase is consistent with global climate model simulations. The future climate state depends strongly on how will the Antarctic Circumpolar Current respond to this strengthening. Eddy saturation is a theoretical regime where the transport of the current remains insensitive to the strengthening of the westerlies. Instead, the strengthening of the westerlies energizes transient eddies. Both satellite observations and numerical simulations suggest that the Antarctic Circumpolar Current is close to the eddy saturated limit. Traditionally eddy saturation has been attributed to baroclinic processes, but recent work suggests that barotropic processes that involve, e.g., standing meanders of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current, can also be responsible for producing eddy-saturated states. Here, we discus the different physical entities of the“usual” baroclinic eddy saturation as well as the recent notion of barotropic eddy saturation. We assess the relative importance of barotropic and baroclinic processes in producing eddy-saturated states using numerical simulations of primitive equations in an idealized setup. Lastly, we discuss potential implications these processes have on global ocean modeling.

Circulation in the Southern Ocean is unique. The strong wind stress forcing and buoyancy fluxes, in concert with the lack of continental boundaries, conspire to drive the Antarctic Circumpolar Current replete with an intense eddy field. The effect of Southern Ocean eddies on the ocean circulation is significant – they modulate the momentum balance of the zonal flow, and the meridional transport of tracers and mass. The strength of the eddy field is controlled by a combination of forcing (primarily thought to be wind stress) and intrinsic, chaotic, variability associated with the turbulent flow field itself. Here, we present results from an eddy-permitting ensemble of ocean model simulations to investigate the relative contribution of forced and intrinsic processes in governing the variability of Southern Ocean eddy kinetic energy. We find that variations of the eddy field are mostly random, even on longer (interannual) timescales. Where correlations between the wind stress forcing and the eddy field exist, these interactions are dominated by two distinct timescales – a fast baroclinic instability response; and a multi-year process owing to feedback between bathymetry and the mean flow. These results suggest that understanding Southern Ocean eddy dynamics and its larger-scale impacts requires an ensemble approach to eliminate intrinsic variability, and therefore may not yield robust conclusions from observations alone.

“Eddy saturation” is the regime in which the total time-mean volume transport of an oceanic current is relatively insensitive to the wind stress forcing and is often invoked as a dynamical description of Southern Ocean circulation. We revisit the problem of eddy saturation using a primitive-equations model in an idealized channel setup with bathymetry. We apply only mechanical wind stress forcing; there is no diapycnal mixing or surface buoyancy forcing. Our main aim is to assess the relative importance of two mechanisms for producing eddy saturated states: (i) the commonly invoked baroclinic mechanism that involves the competition of sloping isopycnals and restratification by production of baroclinic eddies, and (ii) the barotropic mechanism, that involves production of eddies through lateral shear instabilities or through the interaction of the barotropic current with bathymetric features. Our results suggest that the barotropic flow-component plays a crucial role in determining the total volume transport.

We argue that ocean general circulation models and observations based on Ekman or geostrophic balance provide estimates of the Lagrangian-mean ocean velocity field averaged over surface waves — the total time-averaged velocity that advects oceanic tracers, particles, and water parcels. This interpretation contradicts an assumption often made in ocean transport studies that numerical models and observations based on dynamical balances estimate the Eulerian-mean velocity — the velocity time-averaged at a fixed position and only _part_ of the total ocean velocity. Our argument uses the similarity between the wave-averaged Lagrangian-mean momentum equations appropriate at large oceanic scales, and the momentum equations solved by “wave-agnostic” general circulation models that neglect surface wave effects. We further our case by comparing a realistic, global, “wave-agnostic” general circulation ocean model to a wave-averaged Lagrangian-mean general circulation ocean model at eddy-permitting 1/4-degree resolution, and find that the wave-agnostic velocity field is almost identical to the wave-averaged Lagrangian-mean velocity.