Sacha Lapins

and 5 more

Supervised deep learning models have become a popular choice for seismic phase arrival detection. However, they don’t always perform well on out-of-distribution data and require large training sets to aid generalization and prevent overfitting. This can present issues when using these models in new monitoring settings. In this work, we develop a deep learning model for automating phase arrival detection at Nabro volcano using a limited amount of training data (2498 event waveforms recorded over 35 days) through a process known as transfer learning. We use the feature extraction layers of an existing, extensively-trained seismic phase picking model to form the base of a new all-convolutional model, which we call U-GPD. We demonstrate that transfer learning reduces overfitting and model error relative to training the same model from scratch, particularly for small training sets (e.g., 500 waveforms). The new U-GPD model achieves greater classification accuracy and smaller arrival time residuals than off-the-shelf applications of two existing, extensively-trained baseline models for a test set of 800 event and noise waveforms from Nabro volcano. When applied to 14 months of continuous Nabro data, the new U-GPD model detects 31,387 events with at least four P-wave arrivals and one S-wave arrival, which is more than the original base model (26,808 events) and our existing manual catalogue (2,926 events), with smaller location errors. The new model is also more efficient when applied as a sliding window, processing 14 months of data from 7 stations in less than 4 hours on a single GPU.

Miriam Gauntlett

and 9 more

Understanding the crustal structure and the storage and movement of fluids beneath a volcano is necessary for characterising volcanic hazard, geothermal prospects and potential mineral resources. This study uses local earthquake traveltime tomography to image the seismic velocity structure beneath Nabro, an off-rift volcano located within the central part of the Danakil microplate near the Ethiopia-Eritrea border. Nabro underwent its first historically-documented eruption in June 2011, thereby providing an opportunity to analyse its post-eruptive state by mapping subsurface fluid distributions. We use a catalogue of earthquakes detected using machine learning methods to simultaneously relocate the seismicity and invert for the three-dimensional P- and S-wave velocity structures (Vp, Vs) and the ratio between them (Vp/Vs). Overall, our model shows higher than average P- and S-wave velocities, suggesting the presence of older consolidated volcanic deposits or intrusive magmatic rocks in the crust. We identify an aseismic region of low Vp, low Vs and high Vp/Vs ratio at depths of 6–10 km b.s.l., interpreted as the primary melt storage region that fed the 2011 eruption. Above this is a zone of high Vs, low Vp and low Vp/Vs ratio, representing an intrusive complex of fractured rocks partially-saturated with over-pressurised gases. Our observations identify the persistence of magma in the subsurface following the eruption, and track the degassing of this melt through the crust to the surface. The presence of volatiles and high temperatures within the shallow crust indicate that Nabro is a viable candidate for geothermal exploration.