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Ravi kumar Guntu

and 1 more

Concurrent temperature and precipitation extremes during Indian summer monsoon generally have signicant effects on agriculture, society and ecosystems. Due to climate change, frequency and spatial extent of concurrent extremes have changed, and there is a need to advance our understanding in this domain. Quantication of individual extremes (temperature and precipitation) during the summer monsoon season and its teleconnections to climate indices have been studied comprehensively. But, less attention is devoted to the quantication of concurrent extremes and its teleconnections to climate indices. In this study, concurrent extremes (dry/hot and wet/cold) based on mean monthly temperature and total monthly precipitation during the Indian summer season from 1951 to 2019 over the Indian mainland are investigated. Next, the study uses wavelet coherence analysis to unravel the teleconnections of the spatial extent of concurrent extremes to climate indices (Nino 3.4, WEIO SST and SEEIO SST). Results show that the frequency of wet/hot concurrent extremes has increased signicantly, while the frequency of wet/cold concurrent has decreased for the time window 1985 to 2019 relative to 1951-1984. Also, a statistically signicant increase (decrease) in the spatial extent exists in concurrent dry/hot (wet/cold) extremes during the July, August and September months. The ndings of this study could advance our understanding of changes in concurrent extremes during the Indian summer monsoon due to climate change.

Ravi kumar Guntu

and 1 more

Quantifying the spatiotemporal variability of precipitation is the principal component for the assessment of the impact of climate change on the hydrological cycle. A better understanding of the quantification of variability and its trend is vital for water resources planning and management. Therefore, a multitude of studies has been dedicated to quantify the precipitation variability over the years. Despite their importance for modeling precipitation variability, the studies mainly focused on the amount of precipitation and its spatial patterns. The studies investigating the spatial and temporal variability of precipitation across the Indian subcontinent, in general, and at multiscale, in particular, are limited. In this study, we introduce a novel measure, Standardized Variability Index (SVI), based on information entropy to investigate the spatiotemporal variability of precipitation. The proposed measure is independent of the temporal scale, the length of the data and can compare the precipitation variability at multiple timescales. Distinct spatial patterns were observed for information entropies at the monthly and seasonal scale. Stations with statistically significant trends were observed and vary from monthly to seasonal scale. There is an increase in the variability of precipitation amount across Central India. Trend analysis revealed there is changing behaviour in the precipitation amount as well as rainy days, showing an increase in the probability of occurrence of extreme events in the near future. In addition, coupling the mean annual rainfall with SVI enables a relative assessment of the water resources availability.