Chung-Yi Lin

and 4 more

The gap between governmental policy and actions taken by local officials often exists and this gap could be even more severe when it is climate adaptation policy. On the other hand, most of existing studies tend to pay more attention to the structure and the performance of the model rather than the practical operation procedure. To minimize the gap and to evaluate the effectiveness of the adaptation policy, a cross-scale and cross-sector adaptation assessment model, Agriculture and Hydrology assessment model (AgriHydro), is proposed in this study. AgriHydro is established physically to embed top down policies and bottom up local actions and combine with the standard assessment framework, Climate Adaptation 6-Steps and Climate Risk Template, to support decision-making. For sub-models of the AgriHydro, the Aquacrop crop model and the system dynamic water distribution model were calibrated and integrated to form the feedback mechanism. The weather generator (WthGen) modular including climate change scenarios is also established and coupled into the AgriHydro to form a fully functional adaptation assessment tool. An actual application for analyzing the adaptation policy for water supply and crop yield in Taoyuan City of Taiwan is implemented due to the diversity and the complexity of Taoyuan City in land use and water system. The results reflect the possible trade-off of future risks between water resource and agriculture fields under different climate and social scenarios. Moreover, this study shows that the proposed model can provide the linkage to the standard assessment framework, which allows a consist understanding among users on risk and model output. This enables AgriHydro to become a practical and operational tool for decision making and ready for further application.

Zun-Lin Wang

and 4 more

Under the impact of global warming and climate change, the frequency of extreme precipitation and drought events have been increasing. In Taiwan, the government usually guides agricultural fallows to meet the needs of domestic, public, and industrial water during droughts. However, this situation causes that the cultivation rights of farmers are not guaranteed even though the priority of agricultural water is higher than that of industrial water. To this end, a framework of virtual water trading market is proposed in this study to protect the cultivation right. The water supply system and field water balance models that use the historical drought event during 2003 to 2004 as the hydrological scenario have been completed to support the gaming water-trading auction. Through the gaming simulation process, agricultural or industrial stakeholders are invited to carry on the round-designed water trading. Based on the results of player's decisions, we discuss the feasibility of water market in this region and investigate the possibility of adopting the water market as a solution of the water reallocation during times of drought. An application with the principle of user charge in the Taoyuan region of Taiwan is successfully implemented. The results show that industrial stakeholders are willing to pay more costs of water purchase to prevent severe loss of production line shutdown caused by water shortage. After several times of the gaming auction, stakeholders may learn the trading information in terms of evaluating the price of water and estimating the possible amount of water. This study can further provide a potential substitute solution to the government and policy makers when the water reallocation is considered during drought periods.