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Nicholas J Elmer

and 2 more

In situ gauge networks are often used in hydrologic model calibration, but these networks are limited or nonexistent in many regions. The upcoming Surface Water Ocean Topography (SWOT) mission promises to fill this observation gap by providing discharge estimates for rivers wider than 100 meters. SWOT observation utility for model parameter selection in regions devoid of in situ gauges is assessed using proxy SWOT discharge estimates derived from an observing system simulation experiment and Monte Carlo methods. The sensitivity of the parameter selection to measurement error and observation frequency is also evaluated. Single- and multi-point parameter selection are performed for ten sub-basins within the Susitna and upper Tanana river basins in Alaska. SWOT is expected to observe Alaskan river points 4-7 times per 21-day repeat cycle with 120-km swath coverage. For an expected SWOT measurement error of 35%, parameter estimation is successful for 50% (90%) of sub-basins using single- (multi-) point parameter selection. Decreasing observation frequency to simulate lower latitudes resulted in success for only 10% of midlatitude and tropical sub-basins for single-point selection, whereas multi-point selection was successful in 80% (60%) of midlatitude (tropical) sub-basins. Single-point parameter selection is more sensitive to measurement error than multi-point parameter selection. The results strongly support the use of multi-point over single-point parameter selection, yielding robust results nearly independent of observation frequency. Most importantly, this study suggests SWOT can be used to successfully select hydrologic model parameters in basins without an in situ gauge network.

Talha Khan

and 7 more

Airborne dust, including Dust storms and weaker dust traces, can have deleterious and hazardous effects on human health, agriculture, solar power generation, and aviation. Although earth observing satellites are extremely useful in monitoring dust using visible and infrared imagery, dust is often difficult to visually identify in single band imagery due to its similarities to clouds, smoke, and underlying surfaces. Furthermore, night-time dust detection is a particularly difficult problem, since radiative properties of dust mimic those of the cooling, underlying surface. The creation of false-color red-green-blue (RGB) composite imagery, specifically the EUMETSAT Dust RGB, was designed to enhance dust detection through the combination of single bands and band differences into a single composite image. However, dust is still often difficult to identify in night-time imagery even by experts. We developed a Deep Learning, UNET image segmentation model to identify airborne dust at night leveraging six GOES-16 infrared bands, with a focus on infrared and water vapor bands.The UNET model architecture is an encoder-decoder Convolutional Neural Network that does not require large amounts of training data, localizes and contextualized image data for precise segmentation, and provides fast training time for high accuracy pixel level prediction. This presentation highlights collection of the training database, development of the model, and preliminary model validation. With further model development, validation, and testing in a real-time context, probability-based dust prediction could alert weather forecasters, emergency managers, and citizens to the location and extent of impending dust storms.

Nicholas J Elmer

and 4 more

The Surface Water Ocean Topography (SWOT) mission will launch in 2021 to provide the first global inventory of terrestrial surface water. Although SWOT is primarily a research mission with key science objectives in both the oceanography and hydrology domains, SWOT data is expected to have application potential to address many societal needs. To identify SWOT applications, prepare for the use of SWOT data, and quantify SWOT impacts prior to launch, realistic proxy SWOT observations with representative measurement errors are required. This paper provides a step-by-step description of two methods for deriving proxy SWOT water surface elevations (WSE) from an Observing System Simulation Experiment (OSSE) using the Weather Research and Forecasting hydrological extension package (WRF-Hydro). The first, a basic method, provides a simple and efficient way to sample WRF-Hydro output according to the SWOT orbit and add random white noise to simulate measurement error, similar to many previous approaches. An alternate method using the Centre National d’Etudes Spatiales (CNES) Large-scale SWOT Hydrology Simulator accounts for additional sources of measurement error and produces output in formats comparable to that expected from official SWOT products. The basic method is ideal for river hydrology applications in which a full representation of SWOT measurement errors and spatial resolution are unnecessary, whereas the CNES simulator approach is better-suited for more rigorous scientific studies that require a comprehensive error budget.